Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.109921 0.122829 0.136046 0.150551 0.165982 0.181874 0.199438
2024-10-06 0.094475 0.112542 0.131738 0.153518 0.177414 0.202710 0.231394
2024-10-13 0.081680 0.103117 0.126654 0.154130 0.185047 0.218507 0.257206
2024-10-20 0.071146 0.094895 0.121777 0.153967 0.190993 0.231819 0.279816
2024-10-27 0.061870 0.087106 0.116525 0.152598 0.194927 0.242379 0.298965
2024-11-03 0.055522 0.082144 0.114010 0.153903 0.201518 0.255637 0.320934
2024-11-10 0.051309 0.079373 0.113759 0.157582 0.210641 0.271644 0.345952
2024-11-17 0.045889 0.074559 0.110589 0.157380 0.214879 0.281762 0.364017
2024-11-24 0.042814 0.072533 0.110681 0.160991 0.223554 0.297002 0.388013
2024-12-01 0.039057 0.069255 0.108910 0.162060 0.228973 0.308268 0.407272
2024-12-08 0.035138 0.065418 0.106144 0.161642 0.232383 0.317003 0.423448
2024-12-15 0.032076 0.062548 0.104457 0.162440 0.237173 0.327314 0.441449
2024-12-22 0.028501 0.058718 0.101374 0.161415 0.239770 0.335150 0.456789
2024-12-29 0.026614 0.057294 0.101498 0.164547 0.247605 0.349406 0.479927
2025-01-05 0.024142 0.054733 0.099862 0.165203 0.252188 0.359613 0.498149
2025-01-12 0.021672 0.051941 0.097724 0.165041 0.255616 0.368327 0.514526
2025-01-19 0.019106 0.048732 0.094781 0.163616 0.257276 0.374749 0.528041
2025-01-26 0.017481 0.046992 0.093910 0.164981 0.262550 0.385690 0.547131
2025-02-02 0.016577 0.046461 0.094819 0.168823 0.271107 0.400802 0.571434
2025-02-09 0.014840 0.044207 0.092946 0.168613 0.274181 0.408907 0.587009
2025-02-16 0.014086 0.043761 0.093860 0.172382 0.282608 0.423868 0.611187
2025-02-23 0.012857 0.042246 0.092987 0.173498 0.287405 0.434158 0.629525
2025-03-02 0.011442 0.040183 0.091115 0.173062 0.290025 0.441608 0.644277